Friday, April 10, 2009

Season Ending Weekend

How can you not love hockey with headlines like "Satan Clears Waivers, Rejoins Penguins"? Well, perhaps if you're a Kings fan. It was another hard season, which finishes tomorrow in a home game against divisional rival, Stanley Cup favorite, and owners of the best record in the league San Jose Sharks - but was it any good?

The short answer, even going 33-37-11, is still yes.

Six-straight seasons missing the playoffs still hangs over the heads of both team and fan, but rebuilding a team that has only four players from the post lockout '05-'06 is not an easy process.
OFFENSE

Anže Kopitar
The first half of the season was not explosive for the premier Slovakian, as he was asked to be a more defensive minded forward, but he adapted his two-way game and brought his point tallys up - leading the team with 66, 39 of them assists for the best on the squad.

Alexander Frolov
Every year I question Frolov's output for the season, wondering if he'll be trade bait. While he's not a flashy player, he has finesse, and quietly - and consistently - scores goals (the most with 31), and is second overall in points. If he keeps it up, he'll earn himself a hefty paycheck extension when he's a UFA after next year.

Dustin Brown
The new captain had big skates to fill, taking over from future Hall Of Famer Rob Blake. The youngest captain in team history made the 2009 All-Star Team, and he'll just slightly miss out on another year of climbing point totals. As he settles in to his role as a leader, he will continue to be a top-line forward.

Michal Handzus
Zeus turned up his game in his sophomore season with the team big time, and usually anchors the second line. Last year was a disappointment for such a big free agent signing, and whether that was a slow start returning from injury or just finding his niche, he's become a solid player and proven asset.

Jarret Stoll
A great trade acquisition (with Matt Greene for Lubomir Visnovsky), Stoll has been been a welcome scoring addition to the team. He's gritty and makes plays as a physical player. A very good start with the team.

Wayne Simmonds
Perhaps the most impressive offensive play has come from the rookie Simmonds. He made the cut after an excellent pre-season showing, and proved he earned it with stellar hustle all season long. He's not the biggest, but he takes no shit, and is not afraid to stand his ground and throw a punch when necessary.

Oscar Moller
Another excellent start for a freshman player. Moller was the captain of the Swedish World Jrs, team, and will hopefully blossom into a top line player and leadership for the team.

Patrick O'Sullivan / Justin Williams
I wasn't surprised when Sully became trade fodder - he's underperformed all year after holding out the pre-season for a 3-year contract. He thought he was owed the big dollars like Kopitar and Brown with their 6+ year signings, but he's not that elite of a player, and though last year he finally stopped being a punching bag on skates, he did not follow through this year. Williams, statistically a good player, has been hampered by various injuries over the last few years, so it remains to be seen if he can remain in form or be yet another Kings signing that costs more than they're worth in IR time (Dan Clotier, Alyn McCaulley, Pavel Bure)

Derek Armstrong
The senior veteran of the team, he's lost a lot of steam and may be another departure with his contract up, so where he ends up next year is anyone's guess. If he's still a King, it'll be a one-year extension and expect him to stay on the (checking) fourth line.

Kyle Calder
Calder has been paired with some of the top lines and not been able to keep up. He uses his size well, but doesn't have the speed or shooting ability to keep him on the team next year...he's a UFA, and the Kings will want to use that $2.75 mil elsewhere.

Raitis Ivanans
The Latvian hammer is not much of a scorer or playmaker, but tipping over 250 and being 6'3" is good for when somebody needs to get punched in the face. Repeatedly.

John Zeiler
He's a wild card, and plays that way. He made the bump up from the minors, most likely because he's a more aggressive checking player than, say, Jeff Giuliano. He's not a regular player, so his spot may be in jeopardy to Giuliano or some of the other prospects.

Brad Richardson
Another infrequent player, he made the cut but is not firmly on the roster...maybe trade bait or fighting for a spot next season - we'll wait and see.

Teddy Purcell
He's had the most calls up to the team, and that may make him actually count against the salary cap, but unlike the other 3 rookies, his spot is questionable next year. It may have been early bringing him up, but it undoubtedly helped his development.

Matt Moulson
He lost his shot as a semi-regular backup player and is somewhere between Purcell and Boyle overall, which may make him the better of the three as camp opens and roster spots are available

Brian Boyle
Boyle has been in several games for the Kings, and could be a more effective player if he starts using his 6'7" size to his advantage. Maybe some bulking up in the off-season and a little bloodthirst will make him a more fearsome skater.

Trevor Lewis
Not enough data on Lewis, who's played a handful of games. Another up and coming player who will be battling for a roster spot.

Kevin Westgarth
He's a big kid and needs more time developing, but he could fill in for Ivanans if he continues to be factor on ice. And could even put up some points.

DEFENSE

Drew Doughty
From first-round draft pick to player in a matter of months, Doughty dropped 20 lbs by camp and has brought that lean, mean spirit into the defensive core. Far and away the brightest spot on a newly rebuilt D, he leads all rookies in ice time with 26:05 per game. He has the ability to take the puck end to end, and is a cornerstone for the team's future.

Kyle Quincey
Picked up in the beginning of the season off waivers from Detroit to help the backline while Jack Johnson was out half the season with injury, Quincey has become a key young player for the team. Providing strong passing and power play support on the blueline, he solidified his spot in the rotation. Very good pick up when it seemed like there would be trouble for the team.

Matt Greene
The other half of an excellent deal with the Oilers, Greene adds size and balls to the squad. He may not have a scoring touch, but he is a presence in front of the goal, and is the right type of tough, physical player the team needs.

Sean O'Donnell
O'Donnell, with his second stint as a King, will play at least one more season with a small extension, after which he will likely retire (or play elsewhere if a team needs a 37-year old). With a huge crop of defensive talent in coming up (draft picks
Thomas Hickey and Colten Teubert), he's a stop-gap measure which he'll be able (and continue) to fill.

Jack Johnson
Swindled away from Carolina, he spent time under the tutlage of Rob Blake, which has served him well. In my opinion, JMFJ may not be the second-coming he was forcast to be (at least yet), but no doubt he's solid, and is still growing into his role as a defensive leader. He's an excellent pairing that allow the D-line to be hard hitting (with Greene), balanced (with Quincey), or aggressive (with Doughty).

Peter Harrold
He's a true two-way player - and sometimes plays as a forward. There's a lot of good players around him that overshadow his play, but as a third-line player, he's good.

Tom Preissing
This year would be called a disappointment considering he played decently last year, and while I think there must have been some issues behind the scenes leading to it, Preissing spent more time as a scratch and in the minors than on ice, and for the salary cap hit he'll be for the next few years, they better find a way to dump him or get the kind of play they want out him.

Denis Gauthier
Captain Elbows and his nearly-every game penalty minutes will not be around next season as he's another UFA, and I will be seriously pissed at the organization if they hold onto him. While he has fierceness, it's not worth the forced penalty killing, and that makes him a liability.

Davis Drewiske
One of the most recent call-ups, Drewiske looks pretty good. These few games are a test of his abilities, and he's another candidate for a spot on next year's team.

GOALIES

Jon Quick
Originally called up as relief, Quick made a case for staying and took over the main netminder role with some excellent play. Some nights he's brilliant, and others he can be a little off, but in his first full campaign in the majors Quick's been respectable and gives the Kings stronger support in goal. Last season, this was one of the team's biggest issues, and while the Kings would gladly try to get their hands on a top-10 team's goalie, Quick is only going to get better, and the team's focus is no longer so strongly on keeping puck out of the net.

Jason LaBarbera
After sharing the top spot for more than a season, this year was his to take it solely...and he didn't. Eventually, he got traded to Vancouver, where he'll be more than capable to backstop franchise player Roberto Luongo if he's injured or tired. I called his departure early on as a non-resigning at the season's end, but the trade accomplished the same thing.

Erik Ersberg
He was amazing in a few games last year and started with a lot of confidence and energy, taking over from LaBarbara, but ultimately lost the starting spot. He's on a two-year extension which gives him time to hold his place (against prospects like Jonathan Bernier) more than take the starting position.

Coaching: Terry Murray
Compared to the fiery, animated Marc Crawford, Murray may as well be "Hockey Weekend At Bernie's". The coach is an enigma to me, not only because of my unfamiliarity with him from his prolonged time between head coaching gigs, but his softer, more mellow demeanor doesn't give you a lot to read. Granted, he came into the position knowing he was taking the reins of a fallen franchise, and given the economy, perhaps it was a matter of taking a job when few were available - even one that is not wholly desired. What Murray does get is a big chance to be a hero using a lot of developing talent and a team that the youngest overall in the league. If the Kings can't make the playoffs next year, that may be the ouster for both coach and GM.

Franchise: Dean Lombardi
Will Dean Lombardi be around to enjoy his success or become a victim of it? He's been able to restructure an organization that was stuck in neutral and stock it with players that give the team a real shot at winning games, but how many pieces does he need to have in place? He built San Jose into a contending team and looks to do the same here, but even with the work he's done, not getting into the post-season will end up being his downfall. The Crawford era failures are balanced out with the Murray era successes, but between the two it's not that grand of a difference, and Lombardi does not have too many more mistakes to give or time to correct them. However, if the team makes the playoffs and gets the victories, Lombardi is a genius.

As for the team itself, it has been tough seeing some inconsistent play, and losing games when they're leading. But on the converse, they have been several great comebacks, digging deep for some hard play and points when they could have quit. There have only been a few games where they have played all 60 minutes, and I hope that more games next season have an even, consistent performance.

Even though their play down then stretch did not keep them in the chase, seeing news like "
Oilers Playoff Hopes Crushed With Loss To Kings" makes me happy. And I can't be displeased since their overall record and points topped last year's.


UPDATE: Oh shit! Kings win 4-3 over the Sharks! That's a nice note to end the year on! I hope that's also an omen for San Jose to get bounced form the Cup run soon.

UPDATE 2: Inside The Kings has a great interview with Dean Lombardi about the state of the team and thoughts on next year. Very informative and addresses some of the thoughts above...

Here you go...this Dean Lombardi interview covers so much ground and I can't really begin to sum it up. Hopefully you have a lot of time and a comfortable chair. Lombardi addresses the need for a left winger, how the Kings can improve, why making the playoffs next season isn't a drop-dead necessity, the criticism he got for the O'Sullivan trade and much more. Hopefully, you'll enjoy the read...

Question: I talked to Brown and Kopitar and asked them, `If Dean asked you how to improve the team next season, what would you say?' They both said, `Scoring left winger' without much hesitation. Obvious?

LOMBARDI: ``I'd say another thing is obvious too.''

Question: What's that?

LOMBARDI: ``All of these young players have to get better. No doubt about it. Actually, that part is even more important, because if they don't make the commitment this summer, it doesn't matter. When you put a bunch of young players together, learning to be pros and learning to make the commitment to be the best they can be, learning to be teammates, is as critical as their physical condition, their play on the ice. That starts immediately after (today's) game.

``So regardless of what's not in the lineup, what is in the lineup, if it doesn't continue to move toward maximizing its potential, it's not going to matter whether we bring back Gordie Howe. We'll still be spinning our wheels. So the most important thing is to take care of what you've got. If we don't nurture these guys we have, we'll just be spinning our wheels. That, to me, is more important than making an addition.

``So, unfortunately, the answer you got from two of my best young players was not what I'm looking for. The critique should be, `I've got to get better. And if I get better and Doughty gets better and Brown gets better and Purcell gets better and Drewiske gets better and Quincey gets better, and if we all do our job, and if Dean can get us a left wing, that would be really good.' That's the answer.''


Question: One big question that the fans have...

LOMBARDI: ``Is he going to get a left winger?''

Question: Well, yes, but there's a `Part B' to that. That is, is Dean finds that winger he wants, will he have the ability to spend what it takes to get that player?

LOMBARDI: ``I'll get to that, but there's a first part. The more important part is, the player has to fit. This team has the capability of improving without one addition. That's still most important. Secondly, we have to be very careful about just getting a player who has a profile but isn't the right fit, in terms of the way he plays and his character. If that player is there, and I feel strongly about it, I will go to ownership and I would expect that they will support it, as long as it doesn't mean going over the cap or spending a ridiculous amount.

``It will fit with the long-term plan, because there's no doubt that ownership is committed to this plan. They're going to want to know two things: does he fit, and if he does fit, does he fit financially, to ensure that we're able to keep the young core we have? If that's there, I would expect ownership to support that. But I am not going to ownership just to get a big name, because it's just going to be the same old thing. It will get us to a certain point and then it's going to peter out again.

``But that's what I mean about progress. If you had asked me last year, `What do you need?' you would have gotten 10 different answers from me. `We need a goalie, we need a scorer, we need this and this.' Now, you can at least start seeing it. So let's not panic here and just go get any left wing. So that's the procedure here with ownership. Ever since I've been here, that's the premise that I've operated under, and they've given me no indication that they won't support that. Like I said, I am not just going out there to get a big name that looks sexy. He better fit as a player and he better fit with his character.''

Question: What you, agree though, that this rebuilding has kind of reached a fulcrum?

LOMBARDI: ``You know what's weird about it though? It has come too fast. This is what I find strange about this, and this is why I struggle. These last games, even though we're out of the playoffs, we're constantly evaluating. There are some things you can look at, to tell you where you're going, and in the last two months we've been looking at everything to see why we were falling. It's one thing to say, `We're not scoring,' but you have to look at why we're not scoring. What area of the rink? What's the proper chemistry? But like I said, it's kind of strange. I did this once before (in San Jose), and I'm struggling with why this is quicker, but also clearly finding the answer.

``It's about building the reserve list and building the team, and we're moving along faster now, so that we can focus more on the team. Now we have a team on the rise and we have a pretty strong reserve list right now. In San Jose, we improved for six years in a row, and what was underestimated about that is that we got a little younger each year. So then it really comes together when you have a decent team, and by doing it that way you had a culture established. This team dropped dramatically (in age).

``Last year's team was not a young team. Your highest-profile guys were young, but we were like 25th in age. This year it went completely the other way. So that's why, when you say that we're at a fulcrum, we're really young, so I don't know if it's fair to say, `Well, you've got to do it now.' When things came gradually (in San Jose), I never had that question. It was, `Add a piece, add a piece.' But this is way younger.

``You can look at it and say, `Well, they only improved eight points.' Whoa. That's a big difference, when you're 25th in the league (in age) compared to one of the youngest in the league. That means your team has upside and, hopefully, is headed in the right direction. So I don't agree with that. These (young) guys aren't going anywhere if we run our payroll right. Kopitar and these guys. Look at all these kids who shouldn't be going anywhere. So to say, `You have to do it now, at all costs,' I'm not so sure. Why? It's not like my window (for winning) is right now, or I'm going to lose Doughty and lose Brown and lose Quincey and lose Quick. My whole plan is to keep those guys here, and keep my window open, so I can strike at the right time for the right piece.

``So I'm going to say, `The window is now,' or `The fulcrum is now,' now what are you doing? Well, number one, I don't agree that my window is only right now. It's still our priority to keep our own guys. Two, how do I know the right player is there? Well, if you say my fulcrum is now, that means I have to get the seventh guy on my list, even though he doesn't fit, he doesn't have the right character...but the fulcrum is now so let's take a swing at it. No. I don't see that. (The Kings) have had that before. That's when you got (Jason) Allison. That's when you got (Ziggy) Palffy. That's when you got (Jeremy) Roenick.''

Question: So let's say we're sitting here a year from now. You didn't find that `piece' you were looking for and the Kings have finished, let's say, 10th in the West. What would that mean to you?

LOMBARDI: ``I would look at it as, `Did we get better?' and `Are we positioned to get better?'''

Question: So you don't think this team absolutely has to make the playoffs next year?

LOMBARDI: ``What is it, `You have to make the playoffs next year to save your job'? Well, if that's the way you're going to operate, how many teams have lost their way, and lost their plan? That's not the right way to view it. You do what's right for the team. If you want to win a Cup, you get the right guy. We have come too far, in a very short time, to have it drop off. This team, the most important thing it can focus on (this summer) is, `If we don't add one player, how are we going to get better?'

``You've got kids here, like Kopitar and Doughty, who aren't even close to being trained athletes. Kopitar hasn't been in shape, as an elite athlete. Not even close. Doughty? No way. Do you know how much upside is in them, if they apply themselves this summer? Then you're going to bring back the group, and your room hasn't changed a lot. They have a little chemistry and they know each other. I sense there are a lot of guys who like each other. They know they have a chance to stay together if they do the job. There's no `mercenary' element down there. So that's going to get better by definition, if we all do our jobs down there: coaches, trainers, development people and players. If they get better, that should allow us to get better, period.

``We don't want to make the panic move, but we have to get better. You have to answer to your fans. Keep showing them that you're on the right track and that you're only getting better, and that you're not going to get loose because you overpaid somebody and you're going to lose a guy two years from now. Now, again, if the right guy is there, boom. The market doesn't always act accordingly. You can't just manufacture a deal on a whim. If you start trying to manufacture, it usually means you're going to get (taken advantage of), because you're forcing it.

``You see teams where they say, `They've got to make the playoffs,' and then you see those deals go down. Five pieces go out, and they make themselves a little better, create some buzz and maybe even get the eighth spot (in the playoffs). Then where do you go from there? You've got no chance to win the Cup. If our eyes are on the Cup -- and that was my order, to build a contender, and not just make the playoffs -- then you can't look at things and say, `You have to do this.' Quite frankly, that's the way we're going to operate. You can't get in `survival mode.' You have to do the right thing.''

Question: So let's say you get the development you want from Kopitar, Doughty, Quick and those guys. What's the next step?

LOMBARDI: ``Then the most telling thing is that we don't score enough 5-on-5. We're the lowest in the league, scoring 5-on-5. Of all the statistics that we have to improve in, in order to get to an elite level, that's where we're the furthest from becoming a top team. Our special teams are certainly good. Our goals-against, for most of the year, was pretty darn good. It's been starting to drop off, but it's been pretty consistent. That was the main goal for this year, that we had to become harder to play against and get the goals-against down. So that's where we need to improve. And you can take it down further, in terms of size, and loose-puck battles, and rebound chances and all those things, but the bottom line is, we don't score 5-on-5.

``Now, that comes from the forwards, but don't forget, when you have inexperience on the back, that's part of it. It's those guys on the back delivering pucks on the tape. That's why I always say that the defensemen are the most important guys in the rink, because it all starts back there. So as much as we made progress back there and we were bigger, we still have to get better at getting the puck up to the forwards, so that they can either make constructive dump-ins on the other side of the red line, or have a chance to do things on the rush and back the defense off. So when you look at your offense, it usually starts in the back, and we still have to get better at delivering pucks to the forwards.

``That said, certainly the forwards have to be better. We weren't big enough on the wings, we're not gritty enough in the battles, we don't go to the net hard enough. Then you've still got the skill element. Clearly, and anyone can run the numbers, our scoring 5-on-5 is at the bottom of the league, and there's no frickin' way you're going to win in the playoffs if you can't score 5-on-5.''

Question: But you're going to have to go outside the organization to fix that, right?

LOMBARDI: ``Yeah, and I'm not arguing that. We're crossing over some different topics here, and that's where you get some variables. So, yes. But when you ask, `What are you going to do?' I'm saying that I'm going to get better just by making those young players better, so that I don't have to force my own hand and go out and get something I don't want. But yeah, the home run would be that these guys all make the commitment this summer to get themselves better, and the right player is there, and he fits. Then you get a double-barrel hit. I think the double-barrel is critical. If we go out and get that guy, and these guys don't show up committed, we're spinning our wheels. It's going to be the game. We might be a little better, but we're not going to be where we want to go. It has to be both.''

Question: If we were betting on this, what are the odds that both Frolov and Johnson will be on the roster in September?

LOMBARDI: ``The same as they are for anybody else, I guess. I don't know how to answer that one. The only thing that would be relevant, to me, is Fro's contract.''

Question: And Jack's contract.

LOMBARDI: ``Yeah, but there's a big difference. Fro is like Cammalleri, where he can walk on you.''

Question: But Johnson is also like O'Sullivan in a way, right?

LOMBARDI: ``Yeah, but that stuff... I saw that stuff, with Helene (Elliott of the L.A. Times) saying I traded (O'Sullivan) because he gave me a contract hassle. Trust me, Harry Sinden could do that. Glen Sather could do that. There's no question that, back in their day, they would send a message. Harry loved shipping guys to Edmonton, although Edmonton was still a good team. There's no question that there was a little of that in the old days, when GMs had enormous power, but if anybody thinks that a GM with half a brain is going to trade a guy because of a contract hassle, there's no way.

``Cammalleri was a rental for us. If I thought, last summer, that we were a Cup contender -- just like Calgary took him, because they thought they were a Cup contender -- I would have kept him. But he was a one-year rental, and I just saw no chance of re-signing him. We had to do something, because I was going to lose him for nothing. I've been to arbitration time and time again. Look at my history. I'm always the first one to take the player out afterward and say, `Let's bury this.' The lawyers, on both sides, they have no concept of the idea that me and the player have to go back and work together.

``With O'Sullivan, I don't care what people say. That had nothing to do with it. I think, and most people will tell you, we got a pretty darn good hockey player (in Justin Williams). In the last week or so, he's starting to show what he is. It didn't surprise me that he didn't start where he's capable of, because of his hand, but we knew we were getting that. Handzus took a year before he showed us what we were seeing in him. Now everybody sees it. Nobody competes harder than this guy. With (Williams), we won't have to wait a year, and he will be more than fine.

``So that stuff is totally unrealistic. The players have enormous leverage these days. If you're going to do that stuff, and you get that reputation, you're asking for trouble. Harry and those guys could do it back then, because management always had the hammer. There was no free agency, and there were no holdouts and stuff. That stuff, nowadays, there's no chance.''

Question: But aren't you back in that Cammalleri hole with Frolov?

LOMBARDI: ``That's why I was wondering where you were going with this, because you bring up those two guys and they're totally different. Jack is not a rental. The O'Sullivan deal was a hockey deal. I am under no pressure, so to speak, because my asset value is wearing out in Jack's case. He's not going anywhere unless we decide.

``With Fro, you raise a point. There is a little bit of the Cammalleri thing, where he can walk on you in a year. Will that enter into the equation, when we can have some discussion with his agent and see where he's going? It might. If he comes in and says he wants seven million, we might go, `Oooh,' but we have to be careful with that too. We're young and we're going in the right direction. We might be more inclined to keep a rental because we don't want to go backward next season. If you trade Cammalleri for a first-rounder, you're going backward. You're not as good as you could be. So I don't think we'd be as inclined to do that now, but I guess it might enter in. But that's why I see them as two different situations.''

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